tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 327 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

UA 327 · SAN → EWR

departs 1:48 PM PT · arrives 9:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 101h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Tuesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±5 pts +20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.