Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 765 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

UA 765 · SFO → ACV

departs 9:04 PM PT · arrives 10:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ACV?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

ACV (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 765 · SFO → ACV

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACV?