UA 76 · SPN → GUM

took off 9:56 AM ChST · landed 10:21 AM ChST (scheduled 9:55 AM ChST → 10:40 AM ChST)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GUM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SPN

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at GUM that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GUM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SPN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

GUM (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 76 · SPN → GUM

Odds over time

How late did it get to GUM?