UA 848 · HND → GUM

departs 11:33 PM JST · arrives 4:38 AM ChST

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUM?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUM

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HND

Weather at each end

HND (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 848 · HND → GUM

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUM?