Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 853
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
UA 853 · SFO → TPE
departs 12:16 AM PT · arrives 4:34 AM CST
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPE?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
3%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.