Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
WN 1203 · SJO → HOU
departs 1:46 PM CST · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 15%
Sat 10/10 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SJO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJO
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJO (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
HOU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.