WN 133 · PHX → STL

departs 12:55 PM MT · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Your aircraft is N1808U (B38M), coming in as WN 2312 from MDW: in the air, landing about 12:25 PM MT, 24 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 133 · PHX → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?