WN 1561 · STL → MKE

departs 9:08 PM CT · arrives 10:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1561 · STL → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?