WN 1590 · BNA → OKC

departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 10:04 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ OKC is prone to delays

↑ 8am departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1590 · BNA → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?