Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1759
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
WN 1759 · DAL → PNS
departs 1:51 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at PNS that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.