Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1788
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
WN 1788 · FLL → HOU
departs 6:17 PM ET · arrives 7:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.