WN 1833 · MDW → DSM

departs 10:08 AM CT · arrives 11:23 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1833 · MDW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?