WN 1863 · ELP → AUS

took off 11:28 AM MT · landed 1:39 PM CT (scheduled 11:13 AM MT → 1:54 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1863 · ELP → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?