WN 1983 · HNL → OGG

departs 5:28 PM HT · arrives 6:20 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1983 · HNL → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?