WN 1992 · HNL → SJC

departs 8:17 AM HT · arrives 4:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1992 · HNL → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?