WN 2202 · ITO → HNL

departs 11:43 AM HT · arrives 12:50 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.21 in

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2202 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?