Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2512 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:42 AM MT, ETA 10:53 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

WN 2512 · DEN → MCI

took off 8:42 AM MT · expected to land 10:53 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2512 · DEN → MCI

Odds over time