WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 3:42 PM CT

Your aircraft is N266WN (B737), coming in as WN 4826 from BHM: landed 1:32 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.62 in

MSY (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?