Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2765 LANDED 12:46 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

WN 2765 · MCO → MSY

took off 12:17 AM ET · landed 12:46 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

MSY (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2765 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time