WN 2919 · MDW → MCO

departs 5:45 AM CT · arrives 9:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2919 · MDW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?