WN 300 · AUS → ECP

departs 3:25 PM CT · arrives 5:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 300 · AUS → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?