WN 318 · MCO → CUN

departs 1:43 PM ET · arrives 2:44 PM EST

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CUN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CUN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.19 in

CUN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 318 · MCO → CUN

Odds over time

How late will it get to CUN?