Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3384 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

WN 3384 · DEN → ELP

departs 11:11 AM MT · arrives 1:02 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3384 · DEN → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?