Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3447 LANDED 9:41 AM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

WN 3447 · SBA → DEN

took off 6:46 AM PT · landed 9:41 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SBA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3447 · SBA → DEN

Odds over time