Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3821 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

WN 3821 · LGB → BNA

departs 10:42 AM PT · arrives 4:00 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8900L (B38M), coming in as WN 3316 from PHX: landed 9:16 AM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3821 · LGB → BNA

Odds over time