WN 4197 · TPA → STL

departs 6:12 AM ET · arrives 7:40 AM CT

Your aircraft is N279WN (B737), coming in as WN 3143 from MSY: landed 11:47 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from TPA are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.57 in

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4197 · TPA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?