WN 4488 · AUS → HOU

departs 12:58 PM CT · arrives 1:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4488 · AUS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?