WN 4708 · PHX → DAL

departs 8:19 AM MT · arrives 12:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 8am departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4708 · PHX → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?