WN 4734 · BNA → LGA

departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 1:46 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8923Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4579 from STL: in the air, landing about 8:58 AM CT, 75 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4734 · BNA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?