Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
WN 783 · PUJ → MCO
departs 2:04 PM AST · arrives 4:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 19%
Sat 10/10 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PUJ
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PUJ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.