WN 799 · TPA → MCI

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at TPA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.93 in

MCI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 799 · TPA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?