Y4 1892 · SLP → MDW

departs 1:29 PM CST · arrives 6:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLP

Weather at each end

SLP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 1892 · SLP → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?