Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4543 LANDED 8:20 AM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

YX 4543 · ORD → IND

took off 6:49 AM CT · landed 8:20 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4543 · ORD → IND

Odds over time