YX 4720 · GSO → LGA

departs 6:04 AM ET · arrives 7:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ GSO is prone to delays

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4720 · GSO → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?