Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5010SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
9E 5010 · BGR → LGA
departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 6:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.