Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2623SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 2623 · CVG → SMF
departs 12:56 AM ET · arrives 2:50 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
5%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.