tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 681 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 681 · SEA → SMF

departs 5:04 PM PT · arrives 6:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.