tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 9410 · OKC → SEA

departs 10:08 AM CT · arrives 11:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.