tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9802 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 9802 · SAN → LAX

departs 8:20 AM PT · arrives 9:02 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAX?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.