Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1033
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
B6 1033 · MCO → SJU
departs 7:03 AM ET · arrives 10:07 AM AT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 10%
Sat 10/10 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,133 ft forecast at MCO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,133 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.