Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
B6 1551 · HPN → RSW
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 9:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 10%
Sat 10/10 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.