Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

EVA AIR · FLIGHT BR 610 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 7 Tomorrow

BR 610 · TPE → LAX

departs 12:00 AM CST · arrives 8:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 12am departures from TPE are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE

Weather at each end

TPE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BR 610 · TPE → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?