Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 9984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
DL 9984 · TPA → TPA
departs 12:31 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±15 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.