Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1625 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 7

G4 1625 · DSM → LAS

departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1625 · DSM → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?