Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
G4 283 · IWA → BLI
departs 12:05 AM MSK · arrives 5:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLI
Weather at each end
IWA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
BLI (destination)
Gusts 1 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.