Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3335
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
MQ 3335 · SAW → ORD
departs 2:36 PM +03 · arrives 8:08 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 17%
Sat 10/10 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SAW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SAW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
SAW (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.