Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1337
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
MX 1337 · ISP → VRB
departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 6:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/7
Sat 10/10 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at VRB more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at VRB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VRB?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VRB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
3pm departures from ISP are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
VRB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VRB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.