Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 707
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
MX 707 · FLL → TPA
departs 6:03 AM ET · arrives 7:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Wed 10/7
Sat 10/10 10%
Sun 10/11 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
1.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.