tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5102 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

OH 5102 · PHL → YQB

departs 11:07 AM ET · arrives 1:07 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 95h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at YQB more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YQB?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.