tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5409 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5409 · MEM → PHL

departs 6:46 AM CT · arrives 10:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
6% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 4.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    93%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.